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  • The Dot-Com Bubble Unmasked: How HMMs Detect Euphoria, Crash, and Recovery

    calendar Nov 4, 2025 · 12 min read · hmm dotcom-bubble market-regimes case-study regime-detection sector-divergence euphoria-detection tech-sector nasdaq risk-management open-source QQQ MSFT INTC CSCO AMZN SPY YHOO  ·
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    The Story of Irrational Exuberance At the NASDAQ peak on March 10, 2000, our Hidden Markov Model revealed a striking divergence: Amazon showed 85.2% bearish confidence while Microsoft peaked at 98.3% bullish. This stark regime divergence between speculative dot-coms and profitable technology companies foreshadowed …


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Educational Content Only — This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It is NOT financial advice and should NOT be construed as investment recommendations. Always conduct your own research and consult with qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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HMM 13 BAUM-WELCH 5 VITERBI 5 FORWARD-BACKWARD 4 REGIME 4 REGIME-DETECTION 4 CASE-STUDY 3 HIDDEN-REGIME 3 MARKET-REGIMES 3 OPEN-SOURCE 3 RISK-MANAGEMENT 3 AMZN 2 INTC 2 QQQ 2 SPY 2 STATIONARY 2 TRADING 2 TUTORIAL 2 AI 1 AIC 1 BIC 1 CCL 1 CLAUDE 1 CONFIDENCE-SIGNALS 1 COVID-19 1 CROSS-ASSET-ANALYSIS 1 CSCO 1 DIS 1 DOTCOM-BUBBLE 1 EM 1 EMH 1 EUPHORIA-DETECTION 1 FINANCE 1 FINANCIAL-CRISIS 1 GITHUB 1 GLD 1 HIDDEN-MARKOV-MODELS 1 INTRODUCTION 1 LOG-RETURNS 1 MATHEMATICS 1 MCP 1 MLE 1 MSFT 1 NASDAQ 1 PYPI 1 PYTHON 1 REFERENCE 1 SAFE-HAVEN 1 SECTOR-DIVERGENCE 1 STATISTICS 1 SYSTEMIC-RISK 1 TECH-SECTOR 1 TIME-SERIES 1 TLT 1 VOLATILITY 1 WMT 1 XLF 1 YHOO 1
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This website provides educational and informational content only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Always conduct your own research and consult with qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Hidden Regime - Educational Content Only, Not Financial Advice

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